Introducing The "Franchise Player Equation"

Jeremiah Short, Feature Writer

For a franchise to build a winner, it was once believed that it takes a lot of luck and a great judgement of character and talent, based off a gut decision. Organizers don’t have to be a rocket scientist to discover a formula to establish a winning franchise – right?

Well, there is a formula and if an organization does not have the right president of operation in place, who is not in tune with a basic equation, to run the franchise, selecting the wrong guy can doom a team for five, ten or even 20 years.

Before the 2013 NBA Draft, I introduced the True Impact Rating, identifying talent is only the first stage in building a championship contender. The next stage is finding a franchise player and then putting the right pieces around them.

I’ve come up with an equation to simplify that process. The equation is a subjective system, not a numerical one. I’m calling it the “Franchise Player Equation.” The equation is based around three playing styles: The Dominant Big Man, The Swingman and The Playmaking Point Guard.

The equation also will expose “Non-Franchise Players” who teams should never build around.

Google Images/Tim Duncan

 The Dominant Big Man

The dominant big man sets the tone on offense and defense. Offensively, they’re skilled enough to get their team an easy bucket when their struggling. Defensively, they anchor the defense and make up for others blunders.

 6’10 and Over
 Very good to elite post skill
 Very good to elite post defender
 Good to elite passer
 Very good to elite athlete

Current Dominant Big Men

1. Tim Duncan
2013 Stats: 17.8 ppg. /9.9 ppg./2.7 bpg. /2.7 apg.
Career Stats: 20.2 ppg. / 11.2 rpg. /2.2 bpg. /3.1 apg.
NBA Titles: 4
NBA Finals Appearances: 6

Why is he a franchise player? The “Big Fundamental” isn’t the most exciting player to watch, but he’s kept the Spurs in championship contention throughout his career. And he’s still good enough to be considered a franchise player at age 37.

 6’11
 Elite post skills
 Great Post Defender
 Very good passer
 Good Athlete( Post skills make up for lack of athleticism)

2. Kevin Garnett
2013 Stats: 14.8 ppg. /7.8 rpg. /2.3 apg.
Career Stats: 19.1 ppg. /10.5 rpg. /1.5 bpg. /3.9 apg.
NBA Titles: 1
NBA Finals Appearances: 2

Why is he a franchise player? The “Big Ticket” probably should have a few more titles on his mantle, but he stayed loyal to the Minnesota Timberwolves, even though they couldn’t put the right pieces around him.

 7’1
 Great post skills
 Elite post defender
 Great passer
 Elite Athlete

Former Dominant Big Men

1. Hakeem Olajuwon
Career Stats: 21.8 ppg. /11.1 rpg./ 3.1 bpg. /2.5 apg.
NBA Titles: 2
NBA Finals Appearances: 3

Why was he a franchise player? Olajuwon is never mentioned as the greatest big man of all-time, but he should be in the conversation. He kept the Rockets in championship contention without the luxury of another all-star flanking him. And he deserves credit for helping develop a new generation of big men with his training sessions.

 7’0
 Elite post skills
 Elite post defender
 Great passer
 Elite athlete

2. Shaquille O’Neal
Career Stats: 23.7 ppg. /10.9 rpg. /2.3 bpg. /2.5 apg.
NBA Titles: 4
NBA Finals Appearances: 6

Why was he a franchise player? “Shaq” could go down as the most dominant big man of the modern era. Every team he played for in his prime made it to the NBA Finals. And he’s the main reason.

 7’1
 Great post skills
 Great post defender
 Great passer
 Elite athlete

3. Kareem Abdul-Jabbar
Career Stats: 24.6 ppg. / 11.2 rpg./ 2.6 bpg. /3.6 apg.
NBA Titles: 6
NBA Finals Appearances: 10

Why was he a franchise player? Abdul-Jabbar was averaging 20 points well into his late 30’s. That’s proof enough of his greatness. He didn’t do it by dunking on people. He “sky-hooked” opponents to death.

 7’4
 Elite post skills
 Great post defender
 Great passer
 Very good athlete

Emerging Dominant Big Men: Jonas Valanciunas( Toronto Raptors), Anthony Davis(New Orleans Pelicans)

Google Images/Michael Jordan

The Swingman

The most balanced of the playing styles needed to win a championship. The swingman can get you 20-plus points a game and shut down the opponents best perimeter player. They also give their coach line-up versatility. If their team wants to go small, they can play the small forward and possibly power forward position. If their team goes big, they can run the point.

 6-5 to 6’10
 Very good to elite scorer
 Great to elite athlete
 Great to elite defender
 Very good to elite passer

Current Swingmen

1. James Harden
2013 Stats: 25.9 ppg. / 4.9 rpg. /5.8 apg. /1.8 spg.
Career Stats: 16.2 ppg. /3.8 rpg. /3.3 apg. / 1.3 spg.
NBA Titles: 0
NBA Finals Appearances: 1

Why is he a franchise player? Harden was the third wheel in Oklahoma City. Now he’s making opponents realize why they should “Fear The Beard.” If Harden continues improving, people won’t just ask if he is better than Russell Westbrook but Kevin Durant, too.

 6’5
 Very good scorer
 Great athlete
 Very good defender(Could elevate to great soon)
 Great passer

2. Kobe Bryant
2013 Stats: 27.3 ppg. / 5.6 rpg. /6.0 apg. /1.4 spg.
Career Stats: 25.5 ppg. /5.3 rpg. /4.8 apg. /1.5 spg.
NBA Titles: 5
NBA Finals Appearances: 7

Why is he a franchise player? He’s a franchise player because he’s the “Black Mamba.” Bryant is one the true killers left in the NBA, but he also has the skills required to make him worthy of being built around.

 6’6
 Elite scorer
 Elite athlete
 Elite perimeter defender
 Very good passer

3. Paul George
2013 Stats: 17.4 ppg. /7.6 rpg. /4.1 apg. /1.8 spg.
Career Stats: 12.9 ppg. /5.8 rpg. /2.7 apg. / 1.5 spg.
NBA Titles: 0
NBA Finals Appearances: 0

Why is he a franchise player? The injury to Danny Granger turned out to be a blessing in disguise. The Indiana Pacers found out who their true franchise player was. George took a little time to settle into his new role, but he turned it on and became an all-star.

 6’10
 Great scorer
 Great athlete
 Very good defender( Could quickly ascend elite one)
 Great passer

Former Swingmen

1. Michael Jordan
Career Stats: 30.1 ppg. / 6.2 rpg. /5.3 apg. / 2.3 spg.
NBA Titles: 6
NBA Finals Appearances: 6

Why was he a franchise player? Six for six in NBA Finals. Need I say more?

 6’6
 Elite scorer
 Elite athlete
 Elite defender
 Very good passer

2. Tracy McGrady
Career Stats: 19.6 ppg. /5.6 rpg. /4.4 apg. /1.2 spg.
NBA Titles: 0
NBA Finals Appearances: 1

Why was he a franchise player? I can already see the “this dude can’t be serious” looks on your faces. If you switch T-Mac with Kobe, the Lakers have just as many titles and possibly more.Yep, I said it. McGrady and his running mates bodies betrayed them. If that doesn’t happen, we’re talking about him as one of the all-time greats.

 6’8
 Elite scorer
 Elite athlete
 Elite defender
 Great passer

3. Grant Hill
Career Stats: 16.7 ppg. /6.0 rpg. /4.1 apg.
NBA Titles: 0
NBA Finals Appearances: 0

Why was he a franchise player? Hill was supposed to form a Jordan-Pippen duo with T-Mac, but one poor decision to play on a broken ankle derailed his career and chances of winning an NBA title. It will go down as one of the biggest tragedies in NBA history.

 6’8
 Very good scorer
 Great athlete
 Great defender
 Great passer

Emerging Franchise Swingman: Giannas Antetokounmbo( Milwaukee Bucks)

Google Images/Magic Johnson

The Playmaking Point Guard

The playmaking point guard creates the best culture on their team of any of the playing styles. They’re normally unselfish and don’t care about playing with other great players. It gives the general manager one less thing to think about when making roster moves.

 6’0 and over
 Looks to pass first
 Can create for teammates
 Very good to elite perimeter defender
 Very good to elite athlete

Current Playmaking Point Guards

1. LeBron James
2013 Stats: 26.8 ppg./ 8.0 rpg. /7.3 apg. /1.7 spg.
Career Stats: 27.6 ppg. / 7.3 rpg. /6.9 apg. / 1.3 spg.
NBA Titles: 2
NBA Finals Appearances: 4

Why is he a franchise player? I know the better question would be: Why is James considered a point guard? He’s a point guard because that’s his true mentality. Analyst and fans want him to be Jordan, but he’s really Magic. It’s the only way the Heat’s “Big 3” works.

 6’8
 Looks to pass first
 Creates for teammates
 Elite perimeter defender
 Elite athlete

2. Chris Paul
2013 Stats: 16.9 ppg. / 9.7 apg. /2.4 spg.
Career Stats: 18.6 ppg. /4.4 rpg. /9.8 apg. /2.4 spg.
NBA Titles: 0
NBA Finals Appearances: 0

Why is he a franchise player? There’s a reason the Los Angeles Clippers have gone from laughingstock to contender: CP3. Doc Rivers arrival should allow Paul to take the Clippers to the next level and possibly contend with the Heat for the NBA title.

 6’0
 Looks to pass first
 Creates for teammates
 Great perimeter defender
 Very good athlete

3. Kyrie Irving
2013 Stats: 22.5 ppg. / 3.7 rpg. /5.9 apg./ 1.5 spg.
Career Stats: 20.6 ppg. /3.7 rpg. /5.7 apg. /1.3 spg.
NBA Titles: 0
NBA Finals Appearances: 0

Why is he a franchise player? Irving is quickly elevating to elite status in the NBA. He has had to score his first two years in the NBA. With the signing of Andrew Bynum and drafting of Anthony Bennett, he will be able to distribute more.

 6’0
 Looks to pass first
 Creates for teammates
 Very good defender( Two years away from great)
 Great athlete

4. John Wall
2013 Stats: 18.5 ppg. /7.6 apg. /1.3 spg.
Career Stats: 16.9 ppg. /4.4 rpg. /8.0 apg. /1.5 spg.
NBA Titles: 0
NBA Finals Appearances: 0

Why is he a franchise player? Wall took a while to develop, but he finally entered the conversation as a true franchise player. He’s the new breed of point guard and could become the best at the position soon.

 6’4
 Looks to pass first
 Creates for teammates
 Very good defender( One year away from great and two or three away from elite)
 Elite athlete

Former Playmaking Point Guards

1. Magic Johnson
Career Stats: 19.5 ppg. /7.2 rpg. /11.2 apg. /1.9 spg.
NBA Titles: 5
NBA Finals Appearances: 9

Why was he a franchise player? Johnson redefined what a point guard could be and is the unquestioned greatest point guard of all-time.

 6’9
 Looked to pass first
 Created for teammates
 Great defender
 Great athlete

2. Isaiah Thomas
Career Stats: 19.2 ppg. /3.6 rpg. /9.3 apg. /1.9 spg.
NBA Titles: 2
NBA Finals Appearances: 2

Why was he a franchise player? He was the leader of one of the most notorious defensive teams of all-time: the “Bad Boy” Pistons. Thomas blocked Jordan’s route to the NBA Finals for most of his early career.

 6’0
 Looked to pass first
 Created for teammates
 Great defender
 Great athlete

3. Jason Kidd
Career Stats: 12.6 ppg. / 6.3 rpg. /8.7 apg. /1.9 spg.
NBA Titles: 1
NBA Finals Appearances: 3

Why was he a franchise player? Kidd never had the luxury of playing with a perennial all-star during his prime. He was the consummate leader who elevated every team he was on. I’m not surprised that he was able to become a head coach right after retiring.

 6’4
 Looked to pass first
 Created for teammates
 Very good defender
 Very good athlete

Emerging Playmaking Point Guard: Michael Carter-Williams (Philadelphia 76ers)

Google Images/ Dwight Howard

The Non-Franchise Player

What’s a non-franchise player? Many teams have tried to build around a “Non-Franchise Player” and most have failed. The majority fit into six different playing styles.

A. The Scorer: Teams make the biggest mistake with this playing style. And it’s understandable. The Scorer can get buckets, but they normally don’t help the team in any other way.

B. The Score-First Point Guard: The only difference between the scorer and the score-first point guard is height. The main problem with this player is that they have the ball in their hands most of the time. It leads to poor offensive flow and chemistry, which leads to no championships.

C. The Finesse Big Man: This player is a talented post player and scorer, but they normally are above average defenders at best. And they set the wrong tone for the rest of team. It’s not a good look for the star big man to be softest player on team.

D. Stat-Stuffing Big Man: The double-double machines would be a better name for this playing style. They look like franchise players because they score and have good rebounding numbers. But they normally are poor defenders and don’t give their team a true post presence.

E. The Shot-Blocking Big Man: It’s easy to spot this non-franchise player. They are great athletes, make game-changing blocks and fill the highlight reel with dunks. But once the last five minutes come, they slip out the picture faster than a “Family Guy” character when someone says something awkward.

F. The Shooter: I have never understood why teams build around shooters. They’re inefficient and normally can’t help the team win in any other way. Shooters might hit five three-pointers, but they’ll likely get torched on defense.

Current Non-Franchise Players

1. Kevin Durant (The Shooter)
2013 Stats: 28.1 ppg. /7.9 rpg. /4.6 apg. /1.3 bpg.
Career Stats: 26.6 ppg. /6.8 rpg. /3.1 apg. /1.3 spg.
NBA Titles: 0
NBA Finals Appearances: 1

Why is he not a franchise player? I know, I know, he’s the second-best player in the NBA. But his deficiencies got revealed when Harden got traded. Durant can score in bunches but at he’s at heart a “Shooter.”

 Only a good perimeter defender
 Just a good passer
 Can’t create for teammates
 Good athlete at best

2. Dwight Howard (The Shot-Blocking Big Man)
2013 Stats: 17.1 ppg. /12.4 rpg. /2.4 bpg.
Career Stats: 18.3 ppg. /12.9 rpg. /2.2 bpg. /1.5 apg
NBA Titles: 0
NBA Finals Appearances: 1

Why is he not a franchise player? I’m not alone is this assessment. Howard is a classic “Shot Blocker”, not a dominant big man. He makes the perfect number two, though. A role he will fill with the Rockets.

 Average post skills
 Average passer

3. Carmelo Anthony (The Scorer)
2013 Stats: 28.7 ppg. /6.9 rpg. /2.6 apg.
Career Stats: 25.0 ppg. /6.4 rpg. /3.1 apg.
NBA Titles: 0
NBA Finals Appearances: 0

Why is he not a franchise player? No franchise will ever win a championship with Anthony as one of its best players. He can score the ball, but he’s doesn’t bring value doing much else. “Melo” isn’t a ball hog, but he is a “ball stopper.”

 Only a very good athlete
 Above average passer
 Just a good defender
 Can’t create for teammates

Other Current Non-Franchise Players: Kevin Love (The Stat-Stuffer Big Man), Steph Curry (The Shooter), Damian Lillard (The Score-First PG)

Former Non-Franchise Players

1. Karl Malone (The Stat-Stuffing Big Man)
Career Stats: 25.0 ppg. / 10.1 rpg. /3.6 apg. /0.8 bpg.
NBA Titles: 0
NBA Finals Appearances: 3

Why wasn’t he a franchise player? Malone was the classic “stat-stuffer” who was a product of an efficient pick-n-roll system. He never provided much of a true defensive post presence. The 0.8 blocked shots per game career average is telling enough.

 6’9
 Not a great post defender

2. Reggie Miller (The Shooter)
Career Stats: 18.2 ppg. /3.0 rpg. /3.0 apg./ 1.1 spg.
NBA Titles: 0
NBA Finals Appearances: 1

Why wasn’t he a franchise player? I got a better question: Why was he every considered one? The Pacers flawed team-building structure is why they never supplanted the Bulls in the 90’s. Miller had some great moments, but didn’t have the required characteristics to be considered a franchise player.

 Only an above-average athlete
 Couldn’t create for teammates
 Above-average passer
 Just a very good defender

3. Allen Iverson (The Score-First Point Guard)
Career Stats: 26.7 ppg. / 3.7 rpg. /6.2 apg. / 2.2 spg.
NBA Titles: 0
NBA Finals Appearances: 1

Why wasn’t he a franchise player? Iverson had the heart of a champion, but he didn’t have the skill set to become one. It hurts me to say it. Iverson was one of my favorite players growing up. I have fond memories of Iverson stepping over Tyronn Lue in the 2001 NBA Finals. Sadly, it was his first and last NBA Finals win.

 Looked to score first

Other Former Non-Franchise Players: Dominique Wilkins (The Scorer), Charles Barkley (The Stat-Stuffer Big Man), Steve Francis (The Score-First PG)

*ppg.(Points Per Game), rpg.(Rebounds Per Game), apg.(Assist Per Game), spg.(Steals Per Game), bpg.(Blocks Per Game)

* Additional Note: I didn’t designate Derrick Rose as a franchise player or non-franchise player due to the fact that I’ve yet to determine if he’s a “Score-First PG” or “Playmaking PG.”

Google Images/Magic Johnson and Kareem Abdul-Jabbar

While I feel franchise players need certain characteristics, I don’t discount the intangibles. Leadership. Work ethic. Coachability. Mental stability. And Clutch ability.

The franchise player is a great starting place. But two other variables determine if an organization can build a contender: great coaching and talent.

Most of the teams in the “NBA Lottery Era” have had a player who fits the criteria I displayed above.

 NBA Lottery Era Champions (1986-2013)

A. Los Angeles Lakers (1987, 1988, 2000-2002, 2009, 2010): The Lakers have the blueprint down as to how to win a championship. In the 80’s, they won with the playmaking point guard (Johnson) and dominant big man (Abdul-Jabbar). From 2000-2002, they won with the swingman (Bryant) and dominant big man (O’Neal). And in 2009 and 2010, they won with the swingman (Bryant).

B. Chicago Bulls (1991-1993, 1996-1998): The Bulls were led by the swingman (Jordan) during both three-peats.

C. San Antonio Spurs (1999, 2003, 2005, 2007): The Spurs were able to sustain success because they had a dominant big man (Duncan) the past 15 years.

D. Miami Heat (2006, 2012, 2013): The Heat’s first title came while being led by the dominant big man (O’Neal) and the last two came because they were led by the playmaking point guard (James).

E. Detroit Pistons (1989, 1990, 2004): The Pistons first two championship were attained because they were led by the playmaking point guard (Thomas). The third championship went against my equation. Great coaching and ensemble beat a team with the right blueprint. It happens every once and a while.

F. Houston Rockets (1994, 1995): Olajuwon (The Dominant Big Man) was able to sneak in and get two championships when Jordan retired. He might have a few more, though, if Ralph Sampson didn’t struggle with injuries.

G. Boston Celtics (1986, 2008): The Larry Bird-led Celtics didn’t have a player who fit into a traditional franchise player model, but the team was loaded with Hall of Fame talent. The Celtics last title was led by the dominant big man (Garnett).

H. Dallas Mavericks (2011): If James doesn’t choke, Dallas doesn’t have this title. Point. Blank. Period.

Numbers don’t lie. 25 of 28(89 %) teams had one of the players I feel a team needs to win a championship. If an organization doesn’t have a dominant big man, swingman or playmaking point guard leading the way, there’s almost no point to entering the race.

That’s just the “Franchise Player Equation.”

Share and Enjoy !

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